\[ \newcommand{\argmin}{\operatorname{argmin}} \newcommand{\sign}{\operatorname{sign}} \newcommand{\diag}[1]{\operatorname{diag}(#1)} \newcommand{\prox}[2]{\operatorname{prox}_{#1}\left(#2\right)} \]

Introduction

We’re going to demonstrate some of the material from the BayesMAP paper 1 for the Logit model.

Let’s say we have \(M\) observations, a matrix \(A\) for \(N\) predictors, \(y_i\) successes, each with \(m_i\) trials: \[ \begin{gather*} \argmin_x \left\{ F(x) = f(x) + \lambda \phi_q(x) \right\} \end{gather*} \] with \(\phi_q(x_j) = \log(1+|x_j|/q)\) and \[ \begin{align} f(x) &= \sum_{i=1}^N m_i \log\left(1+e^{a^T_i x}\right) - y_i a_i^T x \notag\\ &= \sum_{i=1}^N m_i \log\left(\cosh(a^T_i x/2)\right) - \kappa_i a_i^T x - \log(2) \label{eq:log-lik} \end{align} \] and \(\kappa_i = y_i-m_i/2\).

We use the Proximal Gradient algorithm (described here) to estimate the \(\argmin\).

Note: \(\phi_q(x)\) is not convex but is quasi-convex instead, and convergence may be provable.

The \(\operatorname{prox}\) operator, in this case the double-Pareto penalty, has an exact solution given component-wise by \[ \begin{align*} \prox{\lambda \phi_q}{u} &= \frac{\sign(u)}{2} \left(|u|-q+\sqrt{(q-|u|)^2 + 4\max(q |u|-\lambda, 0)}\right) \end{align*} \] In order to actually use the Proximal Gradient algorithm, we need to specify a surrogate quadratic-form \(Q(x,z)\) for \(f(x)\) (detailed here), and, thus, its square and linear terms \(\Lambda(z)\) and \(\eta(z)\), respectively.

Inspired by the half-quadratic, i.e. Geman-Yang (GY) and Geman-Reynolds (GR), Variational Bayes and Majorization literature, which use a combination of techniques to obtain envelopes that are quadratic in the “dual” argument, we consider the following \(Q(x,y)\):

Lipschitz/MM

For this model, \(f(x)\), the negative log likelihood in \(\eqref{eq:log-lik}\), has Lipschitz continuous gradient (see here for more information) with \(L \ge L_f = \sigma(A^T A)/4\), where \(\sigma(B)\) is the largest eigenvalue of \(B\), and quadratic-form terms \(\Lambda(z) = A^T A \cdot L\), \(\eta(z)^T = \left(m \operatorname{logit}^{-1}(Az) - y\right)^T A\)

GY

The GY-inspired approach: \[ \begin{align*} \log\left(\cosh(x/2)\right) = \inf_{z \ge 0} \left\{ \frac{1}{2}(x-z)^2 - \theta(z) \right\} \end{align*} \] which has the same quadtratic-form terms as Lipschitz/MM. However, in this case, we solve the inverse problem given by \(\Lambda^{-1} \eta\) on each step, i.e. \[ y^{(i+1)} = x^{(i)} - \frac{1}{4} \left(A^T A\right)^{-1} \eta(x^{(i)}) \]

GR

\[ \begin{align*} \log\left(\cosh(x/2)\right) = \inf_{z \ge 0} \left\{ \frac{z}{2} x^2 - \theta(z) \right\} \end{align*} \] where \(\hat{z} = \tanh(x/2)/2x\). Better yet, this form implies a quadratic upper bound given by 2. \[ \begin{align*} \log\left(1+e^{-x}\right) &\le \log(1+e^{-z})+g(z)(x^2-z^2)-\frac{1}{2}(x-z) \\ &= Q(x,z) \end{align*} \] for \(g(z) = \frac{1}{2z}\left(\frac{1}{1+e^{-z}} - \frac{1}{2}\right)\). Using this bound we get the desired form with \(\Lambda(z) = \sum_{i=1}^N m_i g(a_i^T z)a_i a_i^T\) and \(\eta(z)^T = \sum_{i=1}^N \left(y_i - \frac{m_i}{2}\right) a_i^T\).

The basic functions for this estimation problem are implemented by the following:

## Loading required package: knitr
logit.pareto.obj.fun = function(x, env) {
  return(logit.loss.fun(x,env) + env$lambda * sum(log(1+abs(x)/env$q)))
}

logit.pareto.obj.fun.grad = function(x, env) {
  return(diag(env$A)*sum(-env$kappa + 0.5 * env$m * tanh(env$A %*% x)) 
             - env$lambda/(env$q-x))
}

logit.loss.fun.grad = function(x, env) {
  x.grad = t(env$A) %*% (env$m * plogis(env$A %*% x) - env$kappa)
  return(x.grad)
}

mm.logit.xi = function(x, env) {
  xi.res = crossprod(env$A, env$m * plogis(env$A %*% x) - env$y)
  return(xi.res)
}

require(plyr)
gr.logit.xi = function(x, env) {
  Ax = env$A %*% x
  aaT = mget("aaT", env=list2env(env), mode="any", 
            list(function(x) {
                   alply(env$A, 1, function(a) tcrossprod(a))
                 }),
            inherits=TRUE)[[1]]
  eta = mget("eta", env=list2env(env), mode="any", 
            list(function(x) {
                   Reduce("+", Map(function(b,a) b*a, env$kappa, alply(env$A,1)))
                 }),
            inherits=TRUE)[[1]]
  #
  # we use the limit of g(z) as z -> 0, which is 1/8
  #
  mgAz = env$m * ifelse(abs(Ax) < 1e-5, 1/8, (plogis(Ax)-0.5)/(2*Ax))
  maaT = Map("*", mgAz, aaT)
  Lambda = Reduce('+', maaT)
  xi.t = both.solve(Lambda, eta)
  return(xi.t)
}

double.pareto.prox = function(x, lambda, env) {
  d = pmax(env$q * abs(x) - lambda, 0)
  return(sign(x)/2 * (abs(x) - env$q + sqrt((env$q - abs(x))^2 + 4*d)))
}

obj.fun = logit.pareto.obj.fun
obj.fun.grad = logit.pareto.obj.fun.grad

Simulate a Signal

\(x^*\) is the true signal, so that \(A x^* = y\), and sparsity is induced by sampling 30 non-zero \(N(0,1)\) terms.

Our observation matrix \(A\) is 100x300, comprised of \(\operatorname{N}(0,1/300)\) entries and observations are sampled using \(y \sim \operatorname{Binom}\left(m,\frac{1}{1+e^{A x^*}}\right)\)

We determine the Lipschitz bound \(L_f\) to be 2.5863 and set \(\lambda=0.469\) and the double-Pareto parameter \(q=1\).

Comparisons

We compute a baseline minimum objective value by solving the following subgradient problem:

opt.obj = optim(prob.env$x.true, fn=obj.fun, gr=obj.fun.grad, 
                prob.env, method="BFGS",
                control=list('maxit'=5000, 'trace'=1))

The resulting objective value is -66.1258.

The Gamma Lasso has a similar form and thus is a good candidate for comparision. We use the gamlr package in what follows.

require(gamlr)
## Loading required package: gamlr
## Loading required package: Matrix
gamlr.results = gamlr(prob.env$A, prob.env$y/prob.env$m, family="binomial", gamma=1, 
                      nlambda=100, maxit=5000, lambda.start=prob.env$lambda)
x.gamlr = gamlr.results$beta[,dim(gamlr.results$beta)[2]]
obj.fun.gamlr = obj.fun(x.gamlr, prob.env)

Algorithms

First, we source the code for our generic algorithms, e.g. Nesterov acceleration, back-tracking line-search, etc., (see the algos page for more information):

Plots

plot of chunk plot_resultsplot of chunk plot_results


  1. “BayesMAP” Walter Dempsey, Nicholas Polson, Brandon Willard

  2. “A variational approach to Bayesian logistic regression models and their extensions” Jaakkola and Jordan link